case: (Default)
Case ([personal profile] case) wrote in [community profile] fandomsecrets2017-11-11 03:18 pm

[ SECRET POST #3965 ]


⌈ Secret Post #3965 ⌋

Warning: Some secrets are NOT worksafe and may contain SPOILERS.

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Notes:

Secrets Left to Post: 03 pages, 54 secrets from Secret Submission Post #568.
Secrets Not Posted: [ 0 - broken links ], [ 0 - not!secrets ], [ 0 - not!fandom ], [ 0 - too big ], [ 0 - repeat ].
Current Secret Submissions Post: here.
Suggestions, comments, and concerns should go here.

Re: Controversial/Unpopular Opinions

(Anonymous) 2017-11-12 06:39 am (UTC)(link)
built enough of a coalition to win huge majorities in the Midwest

Where are those majorities? What states do you have in mind?

Wisconsin, Trump won by about 23,000 votes. Michigan by about 11,000. Pennsylvania by about 45,000. A margin of less than 1%, in each case. Those are all extremely tight races. None of those are substantial majorities. And if those three states had been flipped, Trump would have lost the election.

The picture you're painting - of a substantial margin of victory for Trump, especially in popular vote terms - is not true. At all. In fact, Trump scraped a victory by an extraordinarily small margin in relative terms. He managed to take small victories in just enough states to win the Electoral College.

In terms of how it came to pass that he won those states, there are many different reasons that we can talk about. My personal opinion would be that it was mostly not a result of Trump building a successful coalition, nor of intra-party conflict within the Democratic Party. I think the biggest factor was that Hillary Clinton was an unpopular candidate who mostly ran a not great campaign, which wasn't helped by the reporting around the e-mail scandals, and just enough white voters in those three states decided at the last minute that Trump was more presidential and authoritative.

But even if you think that Trump's campaigning and coalition-building were the cause of those victories, you are still greatly exaggerating the scale of those victories.