[ SECRET POST #3040 ]

[case]

⌈ Secret Post #3040 ⌋

Warning: Some secrets are NOT worksafe and may contain SPOILERS.

01.
[Once Upon a Time]


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02.
[Tree of Savior]


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03.
[Disturbed's 'Indestructible']


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04.
[Whitechapel]


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05.


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06.
[Bill Bailey]


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07.
[Total War: Warhammer]


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08.


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09.
[Morph]


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10.
[Harry Potter]


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11.
[FFXIV, RuPaul's Drag Race]


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12.
[Monstrous Regiment by Terry Pratchett]


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13. [SPOILERS for Nightcrawler, Gone Girl]



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14. [SPOILERS for Devil Survivor]



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15. [SPOILERS for Age of Ultron]



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16. [SPOILERS for Broadchurch]



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17. [WARNING for incest, abuse, suicide, and probably necrophilia]

[Sankarea]


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18. [WARNING for abuse]

[Steven Universe]










Notes:

Secrets Left to Post: 00 pages, 000 secrets from Secret Submission Post #434.
Secrets Not Posted: [ 0 - broken links ], [ 0 - not!secrets ], [ 0 - not!fandom ], [ 0 - too big ], [ 0 - repeat ].
Current Secret Submissions Post: here.
Suggestions, comments, and concerns should go here.

Comments

[(Anonymous)]

So, you know how statistics can be framed in different ways, and depending on how you frame them, people come to different conclusions? Most people are pretty easily fooled by the way a statistic is presented to them. Like, if you say, "14% of accidents are caused by teen drivers," people react differently than if you say, "%86 of accidents are caused by adult drivers." People who see or hear it the first way tend to think teen drivers are a much greater danger on the road than people who see or hear it in the second way, even though it's the exact same figure. In the same way, people react differently when you tell them "1 in 8 women will be diagnosed with cancer in their lifetime" than when you tell them "12% of women will be diagnosed with cancer in their lifetime." People who hear it the first way tend to think their risk is greater than people who hear it the second way. That shouldn't happen if most people understand statistics.

[blitzwing]

I don't think that's a matter of them not understanding. It's more a flaw of the human brain. We know that a $4.99 box of cereal is really closer to $5, and with sales tax will be $5.07. But we still might think of it as "4 dollars" and even round it to that when someone asks how much the box is, because of the left-digit anchoring effect. It doesn't mean a person doesn't, or can't, understand what's going on or what the pricing really means.

Understanding doesn't always trump psychology.

[(Anonymous)]

I'm going to have to agree with blitzwing on this one. I understand statistics, but that doesn't mean I will process those statements the same way and part of that is due to the language - 1 in 8 (I think: I know 8 women, I could be the 1 or someone I know could be the 1) and for %12 (I think of a really large group women and a relatively small group from that large group) even knowing intellectually that statistics don't work that way (though it's not impossible). The 14% and the 86% statements have a lot of other different numbers behind them, like the 4 to 6 years (in the US) someone is a teen driver and the amount of driving adults do (both distance and length of time), so the "teen" part of the statement is pretty meaningful.