case: (Default)
Case ([personal profile] case) wrote in [community profile] fandomsecrets2016-10-09 03:10 pm

[ SECRET POST #3567 ]


⌈ Secret Post #3567 ⌋

Warning: Some secrets are NOT worksafe and may contain SPOILERS.

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Notes:

Secrets Left to Post: 03 pages, 72 secrets from Secret Submission Post #510.
Secrets Not Posted: [ 0 - broken links ], [ 0 - not!secrets ], [ 0 - not!fandom ], [ 0 - too big ], [ 0 - repeat ].
Current Secret Submissions Post: here.
Suggestions, comments, and concerns should go here.

Re: US Politics / Presidential Debate Thread

(Anonymous) 2016-10-10 12:25 am (UTC)(link)
Well, there's a few different things to tease out here, though. It's not a question of whether self-identified Republicans decide to vote for Hillary Clinton. That's very unlikely. The much more important questions are:

1) What response do voters who don't self-ID as Democratic or Republican have?

2) What effect does it have, not on the preferences, but on the turnout of committed Democratic or Republican voters?

And, you know, if 22% of self-identified Republicans had a very negative impression of Trump's comments - you know, if half of those people stay home instead of voting, that's a huge fucking problem for Trump already in and of itself. Even before you start talking about self-identified independents.
sarillia: (Default)

Re: US Politics / Presidential Debate Thread

[personal profile] sarillia 2016-10-10 12:29 am (UTC)(link)
I agree, I'm just wary of people overstating how devastating this whole thing is for Trump. Some of those Republicans who feel negatively might still vote for him because they think Clinton is so much worse.

I get nervous when people talk about Clinton having the election sewn up because I worry about people not bothering to vote since they think it'll go fine without them.